Methodology & Assumptions
This page explains the core formulas, risk assumptions and limitations used by RetLax.
1. Expense inflation
RetLax inflates each expense bucket separately over the pre-retirement horizon:
- Basic expenses:
B_ret = B_now × (1 + i_g)^t - Medical expenses:
M_ret = M_now × (1 + i_m)^t - Lifestyle expenses:
L_ret = L_now × (1 + i_l)^t
Each rate is set by the user and the model uses a simple compounding approach.
2. Retirement corpus
The required corpus is the present value of a growing annuity that funds annual retirement withdrawals.
If post-retirement return r equals blended inflation g:
C = W × t_r / (1 + r)
Otherwise:
C = W × [1 - ((1 + g) / (1 + r))^t_r] / (r - g)
W is annual retirement expense, tr is years in retirement.
3. Existing savings
Existing savings are compounded to retirement using the pre-retirement return assumption and then deducted from the corpus requirement.
The model optionally applies a linear glide path to annual returns when enabled, shifting expected returns from pre-retirement to post-retirement levels.
4. SIP calculation
Required monthly SIP is found with a binary search that solves for the monthly payment whose future value at retirement matches the target corpus.
With top-up enabled, the model steps up each year by the chosen top-up rate and finds the starting SIP that reaches the same corpus.
5. Monte Carlo assumptions
Monte Carlo uses 500 simulated annual return paths drawn from a log-normal distribution.
- Returns are assumed independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.).
- The model does not capture multi-year correlation, economic cycles, or mean reversion.
- Volatility is set based on the selected post-retirement return and is illustrative only.
6. Known limitations
- The withdrawal tax toggle is a simplified flat-rate adjustment and does not represent full Indian tax slab rules.
- Currency formatting is India-focused and not internationalised.
- Sequence-of-returns risk is shown in Monte Carlo, but the tool does not model detailed historical correlation.
- The tool is illustrative only and is not financial advice.